Portfolio Update Apr 2020 - Resurgence, Recovery, Rebound or Recoil?

Resurgence. Recovery. Rebound. Recoil. Words to describe my investment portfolio after the bloodshed and battering caused by virus pandemic in previous months.

My portfolio value increased by $20k in Apr 2020 to $175.5k.

No sales. Capital injection of $6k by adding some Frasers L&I Trust (new name is Frasers L&C Trust) at 0.97 this week after trading Mapletree Industrial Trust. Frasers L&C Trust surged to 1.06 after reporting a good set of results and cleanup DPU of 3.73 cents after the merger with Frasers Commercial Trust, which I have sold off from SRS portfolio and explained before.

In my Net Worth update in Apr 2020, i mentioned about the following:

"As the virus situation merely peaked and stock market gradually stabilised, I believe there will be one last chance to grab whatever is left on the table before the new economy recovery phase kicks in for a new steady bull run in the new decade."

What's left on the table now are laggards, travel, heavily-overseas exposed and hospitality related companies that offer deep value for your bucks.

I was lucky to have grabbed Fraser L&C Trust. Is this the one last chance to grab whatever is left on the table.

I have depleted my primary war chest and have no intention to dip further into secondary war chests (Fix deposits and Savings bonds) as stock prices have recovered more than 20% from the lows on 23 Mar 20, the very day when I managed to grab a cheap piece of OCBC pie.

Slight recovery in my ultra long term SRS portfolio from rallies by ST Eng, OCBC and Keppel Reit. SATS and CDG are heavily impacted and will take longer time to recover.

Whether the rebound in the stock market is fake, dead cat bounce, short term, window-dressing, U, W, M shaped recovery or will retrace back to new lows or not, it does not matter as long as we stick to our own game plan.

My game plan is to stay invested in this game under all market conditions. Continue reaping dividends, rewards and ride out the challenges with the businesses I own, enjoy the journey of investment and pursuit of financial freedom.

We are starting to see glimmer of light from this dark tunnel. This crisis will definitely be over. It is a matter of how and when. Let's embrace the better future ahead for mankind! End the circuit breaker and let lives resume back to normal soon! Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Nibbled Mapletree Industrial Trust but sold it off after results announcement

In my Mar 2020 Portfolio Update, I shared about my shopping list in the SGX stock market.

If Mapletree Industrial Trust hits < 1.70, Mapletree Logistics Trust hits < 1.20 or Parkway Life Reit hits < 2.30

None of the target prices materialize. It is either they are unrealistic or too low.

On 24 Apr 2020 last Friday, I decided to nibble Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U) at 2.39 knowing that this Mon they will announce their Q4 2020 results.

My original intention was to start building up MIT in the portfolio though the entry price was far from ideal. Anyway it is only a small position so even if it declines further, I can always average down. I was also expecting at least a 3.0 cents dividends as sweetener

Then came MIT's Q4 results. They were solid and resilient but not super impressive.

DPU decreased 7.5% Q-o-Q to 2.85 cents. 0.3 cents were kept as contingency funds to help tenants affected by Covid virus. After sustaining increasing DPU over the years, this decline is a rare blemish in its ever growing DPU graph.

Though the DPU inched up to 12.24 cents for the entire FY, Gross Revenue, NPI and amount for distribution actually dipped in relative to previous quarter. This comes after the recent acquisition of 13 Data Centers in North America.

It is important to note that locally in Singapore, about 55% of the local tenants are SMEs that may well be affected by the virus situation and highly possible will seek relief from MIT. Up to 30% of MIT's tenants are providing non-essential services and their operations are stopped till 4 Jun 2020 as part of the extended circuit breaker measures. Hence, there is a possibility that subsequent DPU will stay in the range of 2.6 to 2.9 cents due to reduction in amount for distribution as some are set aside for the $13.7m relief package by MIT. This relief package does not come from the government but from shareholders' DIVIDENDS! It is with good intention to help the tenants get out of the crisis so that they can continue to pay rental, rather then let them go bust and default on future rental payments.

Today I decided to flip it off for some Kopi money. Not because the results are poor or MIT has no potential but because my entry price does not warrant sufficient margin of safety and current yield is not very attractive (~4.8% at price of 2.52) compared to smaller counterparts such as AIMS APAC Reit (Yield >10%) and Frasers L&I Trust (Yield >7%). Furthermore, I believe it will take a few more quarters for the DPU to recover back to pre-Covid level above 3 cents per quarter. With the looming recession and uncertainty in the economy, some SMEs and non-essential tenants may face cashflow difficulties and require extended relief to defer rental payments. Furthermore, it may take a few pullbacks before the share price of MIT reach its pre-Covid high of 3.04. Anyway, MIT is a solid and resilient industrial Reit to be in every income portfolio. Hence, I hope to buy MIT some time again this year.

Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster

5 Lessons I learnt from this crisis

As I spend a lot of time in my own space working, relaxing, eating, exercising, I also think and reflect on how this health crisis impact lives and make us rediscover the simplicity and inner peace of living.
In summary, there are 5 lessons that I have learnt.

1. Appreciation of Freedom & Peace
    
We take it for granted when we leave our homes and commute to work everyday, working in the office, going for lunch breaks and meetings. We walk, drive, take public transport. Dining in restaurants, coffee shops, drinking in cafes. All these daily routines have become a habit that we become accustomed to and have always taken it for granted. With this Circuit Breaker, it will make us realise that the freedom of movement for urban dwellers is a gift. And of course, to be able to breathe in the free air without wearing a mask is something to enjoy.

Working from home (WFH) allows us to rediscover the inner peace within ourselves, the peaceful neighbourhood, without having to deal with office politics and nasty bosses or colleagues physically. The empty streets and quiet coffee shops without diners portray the life of Singapore before 1990s when the city is much less crowded and peaceful when the population is less than 3m.

2. Stress test on investments

The plunging of the stock markets provides a comprehensive stress test on our investment portfolios. It stresses the ability of our chosen companies and Reits to sustain cashflow and earnings during bad times and gives us a wake up call on our blindless and greedy pursuit of yield and chasing higher than ever stock prices. In the coming weeks when the results of Q1 2020 are announced, we can witness the impact of how this health crisis and Circuit Breaker affect the ability of our beloved Reits in paying DPU and the tenacity of our invested companies to survive. It is important to realise that fundamentally sound investments and well-diversified portfolios can also be affected by systematic risk arising from a health crisis.

3. Importance of technology

Technology allows us to still be connected with other people in the world anytime, anywhere during times of lockdown and movement restriction. It is the best invention in mankind. With the closing down of borders, applications such as Google map still allow us to view the streets of other countries. Virtual reality applications allow us to view showflats of new properties and museum exhibits. Social media, game and video conferencing apps still allow people to stay connected in the virtual world. With advancement in online banking, money can still flow around through Paynow, Paylah and all sorts of payment modes. E-commerce has also evolved to cover online shopping of perishable items in supermarkets and ordering of food from restaurants. This health crisis has definitely highlight the importance of technology and business which leverage it to their advantage thrive during the Circuit Breaker but unfortunately, businesses that that are not adapting to technology suffer greatly.

4. Shortness and fragility of life

The Coronavirus is causing tens of thousands of people to die everyday in the world. More than 170k people have succumbed to this virus at the time of writing. Many of them, with families, children, great plans for retirement or career aspirations have to cut their lifespan short on this earth. From the famous quote of Seneca on the Shortness of Life,

We are spending alot of our time on useless activities, entertaining people we do not like and on social media that we do not realise that time is a scarce and limited resource. All of us beings have an expiry date. We need to realise the importance of living with meaning, duty and purpose. Actual living is to enjoy ourselves meaningfully in activities that will work towards important goals in our lives. It is time for every survivor of this crisis to wake up be grateful that we are still given the opportunity to enjoy all the great things on this earth.

5. Anything is possible in life

Things that are not possible in the past can become possible now during a Circuit Breaker caused by a Coronavirus. The pursuit of luxury items and branded stuff in boutique stores in Orchard Road has evolved to buying unglamourous toilet papers and instant noodles in Fairprice supermarket. The bustling CBD area in Shenton Way in Singapore downtown can become a ghost town as most companies allow staff to WFH. Many shops in malls and neighbourhoods are forced to close down by the government. The crowd watching waterfall and queues at Shake Shack in Jewel can suddenly disappear. Even Mcdonald can cease to operate for the first time in Singapore. What does not happen in the past does not mean will not happen in the future.


Thanks for reading! Stay home and be safe!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Net Worth Rebounded Towards SGD 900k in Apr 2020

After the battering in Mar 2020, my net worth rebounded strongly this month. This is due to the rebound in the stock market as well as the latest round of cashflows from active income, bonuses which was contributed to SRS for investment and CPF contributions.

Ever since my net worth inched towards SGD 1 million in early 2020, it has been on a continual decline. I expected it to happen with the worsening virus situation however the steep plunge of equities was faster and greater than expected. I am happy to finally see it increase again.

A breakdown of my assets revealed the bulk of numbers in the CPF fortress and I still have enough risk capacity to invest in more risky stocks and Reits. My SRS account is fully vested in strong companies such as OCBC, SATS and Comfortdelgro that are undergoing stress tests at the moment. I particularly favour Reits and though the recent selldown of Reits wiped out huge paper profits off my portfolio, I am slyly happy and relish at the great opprortunity to add on to more Reits. However, I only nibbled abit of Capmall trust and was disappointed to see the quick rebound of Mapletree Industrial Trust, Mapletree Logistics Trust and Parkway Life Reit, which were my other long term targets.

As the virus situation merely peaked and stock market gradually stabilised, I believe there will be one last chance to grab whatever is left on the table before the new economy recovery phase kicks in for a new steady bull run in the new decade. There could be a huge plunge to test new bottoms, slight retracement to a higher bottom or continued rebound in the stock markets. Nonetheless, I am still focused on staying investing in all market conditions.

I am reviewing my potential targets and may just grab Frasers Logistics & Industrial Trust, Mapletree Commercial Trust or even bashed up hospitality Reits such as Ascott Trust or CDLHTrust. I hope to make a comeback stronger than before after this crisis. In pursuit of my first million dollars. For financial freedom. For passive income. Pure freedom.

WFH does help to reduce my expenditure or cash outflow. I have saved from transport fare, lunch and tea breaks. I also have more time to sleep and enjoy more me time than ever. This is at the expense of freedom. Being literally at home almost 99% of my time makes me sometimes feel trapped in my own space but overall, the experience and benefits are great for me. I am trying to enjoy the moment of working semi-naked on bed and secretly hoping that mankind slowly conquer the virus so that life will resume close to normal in 2H 2020. The coffeshops and malls crowded wih people again. Getting to squeeze into the crowded city life. The borders start to open up and we can get to travel again soon.

I wish everyone the best of health. Stay safe, remain at home, be peaceful and enjoy the solitude! Thanks for reading.

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Portfolio Update Mar 2020 - SRS Ultra LT Portfolio Revealed!

The portfolio value continue to plummet -16% from $186k in Feb 2020 to $155.5k on 31 Mar 2020 today. I collected 497 shares from the Dividend Reinvestment Scheme of Aims Apac Reit and also stuck to my plan to add some 2,800 CapMall Trust at 1.75 despite all the headwinds surrounding the Retail industry. I have explained my rationale to invest in Cap Mall here. I believe crisis presents opportunities and am rather optimistic that things will head for the better and that we have experienced the deepest fears in the stock markets and the recovery would be fast and furious in time to come once there are the slightest signs of this virus wavering out.

For the very first time, I am revealing my Ultra Long-Term Portfolio in the SRS account. These long positions are for at least 30 years and these 5 businesses, I believe will continue to grow and not go bust when I reach 62 yrs old. I have added 1,300 OCBC at 7.87 and 1,500 SATS at 3.69 in Mar 2020.

I have fired all my loose bullets at targets that I planned for and depleted my primary war chest. My next level of war chests will be unlocked by redeeming Savings Bonds and withdrawing from fixed deposits. I will do so if the effects of recession start to kick in and cause another round of tumbling in the markets and if my other targets such as Mapletree Industrial Trust hits < 1.70, Mapletree Logistics Trust hits < 1.20 or Parkway Life Reit hits < 2.30.

Meanwhile, I will do nothing and just live life normally, focus on work, relax, sleep, eat, exercise and hope that the virus situation improves and life resumes back to normal in the world soon.

Take care everyone and thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Passive Income in Q1 2020

I received the first passive income cashflow in 2020 from savings bonds interest, followed by some allowances from SAF for attending IPT sessions. Then comes the dividend payouts from the portfolio. Besides the dividends from Frasers Commercial Trust and Keppel Reit that go into SRS as money that appears locked up as numbers, I have opted for shares in the script dividend reinvestment scheme for Aims Apac Reit.

In total, my passive income in Q1 2020 is $3,192.33. Not a great feat but it certainly covers all my essential expenditures such as food, groceries, telco bills and transport.

$100.50 Saving Bonds (2 Jan)

$20.48 IPT Allowance (10 Jan)

$21.90 IPT Allowance (6 Feb)

$108.00 Ascendas HTrust (10 Feb)
$655.18 UOB FD Interest (17 Feb)

$203.50 Mapletree Com (26 Feb) 

$386.00 Cap Com (28 Feb)

$155.50 Cap Mall (28 Feb)

$117.35 Suntec Reit (28 Feb)

$168.26 Frasers Com (28 Feb) SRS

$144.91 Keppel Reit (28 Feb) SRS
$101.00 Saving Bonds (1 Mar)

$280.56 Ascendas Reit (4 Mar)
$21.62 IPT Allowance (20 Mar)

$707.57 Aims Apac Reit (26 Mar)

The stock markets has rebounded strongly due to the unlimited quantitative easing by the Fed and printing of $2T monies by the US government, after plummeting heavily due to the coronavirus. Locally, we have the Singapore government dipping into $17b of reserves to rescue businesses affected by this virus and sweeten the minds of people before the upcoming elections.

It is impossible to time the market to buy Reits and stocks at the bottom or sell at peak.
I have performed the following transactions to my SRS portfolio - sold off Frasers Commercial Trust, bought ComfortDelGro, SATS and OCBC. Next will be to add on to my existing income portfolio in CDP.

We need to stay calm, take care of our physical and financial health, live normally and grind out this tough situation. I will continue to live frugally, save up and invest in any bear or bull market conditions, slowly and steadily building up an income portfolio to work towards financial freedom and SGD 1m milestone. 

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace,

Qiongster

Added more OCBC to SRS portfolio

In my previous article comparing the 3 local banks' impressive Q4 2019 results and explaining why we should own the banks instead of letting banks own our money, I mentioned that 

"I am biased towards accumulating more OCBC shares for long term at around their Net Asset Value price of $10.50 as they offer scrip dividend reinvestment consistently every year. This allows us to leverage on the power of compounding effect to grow our money till we retire as we can reinvest the dividends collected from OCBC shares back into OCBC at no cost."

Today, I saw the share price of OCBC plummeted another 6.5%, at 25% off the book value and decided to add on 1,300 shares to my existing holdings in SRS portfolio. 

I could have waited for the bottoming of the markets which theoretically should take place at the climax of this whole Coronavirus crisis. The lowest prices of OCBC occurred before 2000, 2003 and 2009 at below $5. But I decided to not time the market and just catch the falling knife as this will be an ultra long term investment and I will continue to add on to OCBC shares using dollar cost averaging in 2021, 2022, every year and so on. If I get to see $5 again, I would definitely activate some of my war chest in Fixed Deposits and Savings bonds to add on more.

My next plan of action is to capture some more of the branded Reits that I currently own. Capitaland Mall Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust will be my top choices. I am also comtemplating letting Mapletree logistics Trust or Industrial Trust join my family. This will be another lifetime opportunity to acquire Reits on the cheap. We should deploy our ammunition and unlock our war chests slowly to enjoy possibly further discounts and also in case there are rights offers by the Reits.

I will stay calm, stick to plan, slowly and steadily build the portfolio in the quest for financial freedom while eating, working and sleeping well during these tough times. In time to come, the crisis will be over and life will still go on.

Thanks for reading.

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Net Worth Battered Heavily in Mar 2020

My net worth got battered and decreased 4.7% to $861.5k since Feb 2020 even after the latest injections from active income and CPF contributions.

With the recent turmoil in the stock market, my portfolio value was wiped out a whopping $50k. This is the main cause of my plummeting net worth.

Sad or not? I would be lying if I say no. I tried to be a stoic and I realise that there is no difference to my lifestyle even though I am technically much "poorer" compared to last month. Net worth and money are just numbers afterall. As long as we have sufficient cash and credit to pay for food, daily necessities, life goes on even with the coronavirus that caused so much panic and countries to lockdown.

I have contributed $4.3k to my SRS account and will top up the remaining $11k as soon as I receive my pending bonus. I have added SATS to my SRS portfolio too early this month and intend to capture some OCBC soon. The share prices of both these good companies have been battered recently so I am happy to enjoy discounts presented by the market. It is however possible that their share prices will still continue to slide down. My belief is to continue building a long term income portfolio in SRS by steadily adding on to shares of solid companies that I believe will still exist when I can cash out my SRS account in 30 years time.

To add insult to misery, I was looking forward to a nice retreat in Bangkok after grinding 3 months of work in 2020. I thought it is time to finally wind down, chillax, eat, and rest. However due to the enforcement of 14 days stay at home notice for returning from ASEAN countries by the Singapore government, I have no choice but to cancel this holiday trip.

Stay tuned for my Q1 2020 passive income report soon. Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Get paid to Exercise? Is it passive income?

I attended the IPPT preparatory Training (IPT) today at Khatib Camp.

I will be paid more than $20 by SAF for 1 hour of exercise.

IPT and IPPT sessions are suspended in Feb in view of the worsening coronavirus situation. I am happy that I can get paid to exercise again.

As a Singaporean son, besides serving 2 years of National Service, one has still got to serve 7 rounds of high key In-Camp Training as an NSman before completion of all NS liabilities.

As many does not know, besides the IPPT monetary awards for passing or excelling in the fitness test. Nowadays all sessions of remedial trainings (RT), 3 sessions of IPPT and IPT sessions are paid with allowances based on the NSman's military rank. It is no longer a punishment or a waste of time to go RT if we reframe our mindsets.

The only downside is that National Service allowance is taxable. From IRAS perspective, it is earned income and not passive income.

I feel that this is one way to earn back the taxes we paid to the government, as well as to keep fit by exercising.

I hope to be able to continue enjoy getting paid to exercise for a couple more years before I complete my NSman liabilities.

Live Rich Life Free! Thanks for reading.

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Added SATS to SRS portfolio

After the bloodshed edition Feb 2020 portfolio update, we continue to witness the financial markets in turmoil. Stocks and Reits experience series waves of sellsdowns and dead cat bounces. 

In Feb, I was hoping to be able to add SATS below $4.10. Amazingly the share price of SATS is able to pierce through the multiple layers of support at $4.00, $3.85 and $3.70 levels. And it will possibly plunge to even lower levels in weeks to come. 

SATS has announced pay cuts for their management and warned about the significant impact of the coronavirus on their bottom lines in Q4 2019.

Nevertheless, I stuck to my plan and added 1,500 shares at $3.69 to increase my holdings to 4,000 and lower the holding cost to $4.22. This is my little investment effort for the ultra long term using the 30 years locked up SRS funds. 

My long term plan is to add at least 1,000 shares of SATS and 1,000 shares of OCBC every year for the next 30 years using the $15.3k SRS top up amount.

I believe that a new economy cycle will begin after this virus situation followed by months of recession. Coronavirus and travel bans will not persist forever and will eventually end. In today's modern age, humans cannot do away with flying on planes for holidays and work, and may in fact travel even more to clear leaves once the situation improves. SATS will always be the leading ground handling, aviation food and gateway services provider in Changi Airport and across the region. I am confident it is a good business to invest for the ultra long term and Changi Airport T5 in 2030s will be a catalyst for SATS to grow.

Thanks for reading! Happy shopping in this lifetime opportunity!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

The unpredictability of the beautiful soccer, just like Life

In the English Premier League today, the high flyer and potential invincible Liverpool has lost, not just lost but being thrashed 3-0 by a struggling relegation threatened Watford, who was thrashed by Man Utd last week. This result leaves many talking points and ideas to ponder about. In the tightly contested English Premier League, the smaller football teams have been winning the so called traditional big boys in this season and the millionaire footballers from big boys have been under-performing match after match. Why is this so? What can we learn from the beautiful game?

In the competitive football industry, football clubs sack and change managers as fast as their players change their boots. Man Utd, a global football brand with long traditions and huge fan base in the world has sacked Mourinho, the Special One. Tottenham and Arsenal have also sacked their managers this season. Man Utd and Arsenal, have become mediocre clubs while Liverpool who has been mediocre for a long time, has finally built a team to challenge for trophies. We can learn that success and glory is not eternal. It is short lived. Success in the past, does not guarantee success in the present and the future. Your dad may be successful, but this doesn't mean that you will be successful too. If we apply the same idea to trading or investing, our past records does not warrant profits always. Every trade is a new game altogether. Every new investment is a new game. There is uncertainty, unpredictability or risk with every new game, be it soccer or investment. All are the same. We cannot avoid defeats, losses, failures. We can only limit, mitigate or reduce the possibility of losing. Fret not if you have not been winning in your past trades or investments. You can always restart the game and you may win this time.

Table topper, Liverpool who has won 26 games and drawn 1 game prior to today, has been putting in awesome team spirit and performances for the entire season, suddenly lost to Watford away. This is akin to a Forex trader who has won at least 10 pips for 10 trades successively, but in the 11th trade lost 100 pips. Overall there is still net gain, but the one losing trade is a hiccup and causes psychological impact after making that many trades. Losing is part and parcel of the game. We play to win always but losing once in a while can give us a reality check and let us realize that men are not informidable afterall. We are made of flesh and bones and can make mistakes or lose concentration in a while. Also, it tells us that past track record will not affect future performance.

In conclusion, the beautiful game of soccer demonstrates to us the unpredictabilities in life. The future is uncertain. What you have achieved in the past could be gone in the future. If you have made losses in the financial markets, fret not, don't give up. The losses do not mean anything. Every new trade is a new beginning to a new game where you can win or lose.

With Love and Peace,
Qiongster

Won a free Samsung Galaxy Watch

Today I won a Samsung Galaxy Watch Active!

It is from the Shake and Win in UpGreat app by Great Eastern.

A consolation prize for my plummeting portfolio value and net worth. This toy still retails for $239 in online stores

Anyone can download this UpGreat app for instant offers, shake and win lucky draw and gift rewards. For Great Eastern customers, there will be more rewards.

We can earn UpGreat points and redeem free vouchers from Robinsons, Shell, Fairprice, Watson etc.

The troublesome thing to earn UpGreat points is through another GetGreat app that allows you to clock steps and perform fitness quests. I have been earning the points consistently for more than 1 year and have redeemed lots of free vouchers already.

Who does not like free things? Live Rich Life Free! Thanks for reading.

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster

Portfolio Update Feb 2020 - BLOODSHED Edition

My portfolio value plunged by $10.5k or 5.3% from $196.5k on 31 Jan to $186k on 28 Feb 2020. This correction was kind of expected due to the great impact of Covid-19 on the worldwide economies and businesses but as this is a long term income portfolio for financial freedom, I have no fear and should not worry about short term volatilities. I believe that this correction in the stock markets presents ample opportunities to add on quality businesses and Reits. In a recession, cash is king and as cheaper properties, cars and other assets will on offer.

No purchases or sales were made to this portfolio in CDP. However, I have sold Frasers Commercial Trust and bought ComfortDelGro in my SRS portfolio, which turns out to be at a wrong timing but no regrets and it is already history. I get to invest in the land transport business i.e bus, mrt and taxi over the long run as CDG is still the world's second largest transport company that owns 75% of SBS Transit, MRT Northeast Line, has a cashcow subsidiary Vicon and numerous global operations. Giving a decent 4% yield, I think the rewards are more than the risk in the long run. 

I have opted for scrip dividend scheme for Aims Apac Reit so in Mar there should be a few hundred shares to be credited in together with dividends from Ascendas Reit. 

The dividends from Reits have started to stream in this month. They will go back to my Poems Money Market Fund and SRS account to build up my ammunition for next investments.

$108.00 Ascott Trust - Ascendas HTrust (10 Feb)

$203.50 Mapletree Com (26 Feb) 

$386.00 Cap Com (28 Feb)

$155.50 Cap Mall (28 Feb)

$117.35 Suntec Reit (28 Feb)

$168.26 Frasers Com (28 Feb) SRS

$144.91 Keppel Reit (28 Feb) SRS

In Mar 2020, I hope to add SATS at below $4.10 and OCBC at around $10.70 to the SRS portfolio and it will be status quo for this portfolio in CDP. Despite feeling sad seeing the portfolio value plummeting, actually I like to see bloodshed in the stock markets as we can add on to our investments great bargains by dollar cost averaging. This is only the beginning of the bear ride. It is not for the faint hearted and irrational folks. I will stick to my game plan of slowly and steadily building an income portfolio for financial freedom.

No fear no greed! Thanks for reading! 

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Why I don't track my expenses?

It is common for financially savvy folks to budget and track their daily, monthly and annual personal or family expenses. I used to have a spreadsheet to keep track of my spending during my uni days but I have stopped doing that since 8 years ago.

Laziness? Lack of self discipline? Yes partly but those bad habits are not the main reasons.

Our Expenses become the Revenue of businesses
When I buy a $3 cai png (vegetables rice), my 2 dollar note and 1 dollar coin goes into the cash register of the mixed vegetable rice stall and becomes the revenue of the stall. When I buy a new iPhone through recontracting my mobile plan with Starhub, the $847 I paid contributes to the revenue of Starhub. The money we spent no longer is our money. The money we spent become the revenue of businesses. I do not want to track money that do not belong to me.


Budgeted Low Expenses
Though I did not track my expenses, I actually allocated a fix amount of $300 cash and $700 of credit for spending every month. I have the discipline to channel my monthly cashflow to savings in war chest first before allocating to expenses. In a way I will not exceed my allocation for spending because I have prioritised beefing up war chest over spending. I feel comfortable since I can eat whatever I like within $300 and buy whatever I need withing $700 using credit card for 30 days in a month. I do not want to go down to the exact dollars and cents that I have spent.

Channel away time and effort
I would rather spend the time updating daily spending item list, calculating total monthly expenditure on finding next investment, ways to earn more passive income, how to increase my cashflow and assets and cashflow management instead. I think tracking expenses is a micro-managerial aspect of personal financial management that is still useful and important but does not suit everyone. We can still focus on the big picture such as planning for financial freedom and retirement without tracking every single cent that we spent.


Have a great sense of freedom and free from stress
Free from the shackles of spending money, there will not be any guilt if I overspend on a nicer meal or buy a nice shirt that I see in Uniqlo. When there is flight promotion, I will not feel disappointed to go for the booking. I buy and spend whatever thing I need whenever, wherever. I do not need to worry about spending more than last month or last year. This will make living less stressful and more enjoyable.

Focus on tracking Net Worth
I do not want to rely on tracking spending to cut down or control my expenses. I find it enjoyable to focus on tracking what I have to motivate myself instead. It will become obvious if my net worth decrease or increase at a slower rate for certain month and I can find out the real cause due to portfolio drop or overspending. Having a target net worth, dividends cashflow or portfolio value will spur us to reduce unnecessary spending in order to achieve personal targets.

In a nutshell, we need to find the most comfortable path towards achieving our goals. Budgeting and tracking expenditure is a useful but not necessary way for everyone to limit or control spending.

Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Own the Banks or let the Banks own our Money?

The 3 local banks, UOB, DBS and OCBC have announced their impressive Q4 and FY2019 financial results this week. All 3 banks registered not just increased revenue income and earnings, but RECORD HIGH annual earnings. What is worth highlighting to income investors is that they all dished out dividends of around 5%! which is higher than some of the branded Reits.

OCBC in particular has achieved a significant 34% increase in Q4 2019 earnings and increased their FY19 dividends by a whopping 23%. Dividends from OCBC used to lag UOB and DBS in terms of payout ratio due to their conservative management style. So they could have finally woke up.

The outlook for 2020 will be very challenging with the Covid-19 virus affecting China and the world greatly. The gloomy economy prospect and highly possible recession in Singapore and APAC region could result in massive retrenchments, unemployment, poor businesses and result in increased defaults in personal and corporate loans. Hence, there could be more bad debts and will have a huge impact on the bottom lines of banks. 

It is too early to tell how much the banks will suffer but I would anticipate the banks to not do as well as in 2019. Their share prices should fall and dividends may not increase in FY2020. It will be a good opportunity to start accumulating these bank shares as they start to decline, especially after they XD.

Dollar cost averaging is a good strategy to accumulate bank shares for long-term investments over a horizon of 1, 2 or even 3 to 5 decades. As the share price of banks are highly volatile, they offer opporunities for traders to take up short or short-term long positions to profit from the price swings.

I am biased towards accumulating more OCBC shares for long term at around their Net Asset Value price of $10.50 as they offer scrip dividend reinvestment consistently every year. This allows us to leverage on the power of compounding effect to grow our money till we retire as we can reinvest the dividends collected from OCBC shares back into OCBC at no cost. Over time, the rate of accumulating OCBC shares will increase exponentially. Hence, OCBC will a mainstay in my SRS portfolio. UOB and DBS, on the other hand, have stopped the scrip dividend scheme since 2017, so the dividends will be collected in cash, and if reinvested, will incur brokerage fees.  

Since DBS changed their dividends payout from bi-annually to quarterly, they have become more like a special 5% Bond with characteristics of a Reit paying quarterly dividends. This is especially enticing and attractive to income investors who favour consistent income of 5% or even higher if one could accumulate below share price of $25. When I have more ammunition in my war chest, I would whack DBS into my CDP account.

Instead of putting our spare money in the banks savings accounts to earn 0.05% or multiplier accounts to earn 1.5% interest rates with lots of conditions to fulfill in order for higher rates, we can simply purchase bank shares to own the banks that own our money and other people money to earn around 5% yield. Of course, that comes with risk of capital loss. However, for the long term, it makes sense to collect consistent dividends annually and ignore the day-to-day share price fluctuations of the banks. If we leave our spare money to let the banks own them, the banks will use your hard-earned money to loan out to companies or people buying properties or cars, without you knowing it. What you can see is just numbers of your money on the account balance but behind the scene, your money has been spent. I believe the benefits of owning banks will be highly rewarding to beat inflation and earn decent returns in the long run.

Thanks for reading! 

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster 

Shit becomes Gold? - Starhub on its way to recovery

Starhub (CC3. SI) released its 4Q 2019 and FY2019 financial results today. Overall, the results are not impressive, a far cry from its glory days in the past but it is evident things have improved and stabilized under the new CEO.

Positive Highlights:
1. Q4 2019 Net Profit doubles from $15.4m to $33.3m
2. Revenue from Enterprise, Managed Services & Cybersecurity grew
3. CAPEX was 7.5% of Revenue instead of 8 to 9%
4. Free Cash Flow for FY2019 increased 50% from $145m (8.4cents/share) to $218m (12.6cents/share)
5. Dividend per share maintained at 9.0 cents for FY2020

Expected declines in FY2018
1. Total Revenue dips 1.3%
2. Net Profit continues to drop 10.9%
3. Revenue from Mobile business declined 7.2%
4. Revenue from PayTV decreased 20%
5. Revenue from Broadband decreased 5% despite increase in subscriber base

As shared during my portfolio unveil post, Starhub is one of my initial investments when I started to build a long term income portfolio in 2016. Having suffered heavy paper losses, it is too painful to cut loss so I can only continue hold my handful of Starhub shares and start believing that Starhub has started on its recovery from rock bottom.

The increase in free cash flow to $218m gives confidence that the dividends of 9 cents are sustainable. In FY2018 the free cash flow of $145m was not even able to cover the $155.7m of dividends paid to 1.73b of outstanding shares. This is a good sign.

Profit margins from their traditional businesses no longer bode well. With the influx of Netflix and android TV boxes, PayTV will become obsolete sooner than later. While broadband and mobile plans get cheaper with more competition from virtual mobile operators and incoming TPG, margins get squeezed from existing telcos.

Starhub and Keppel owned M1 have jointly bid for 5G license. Hopefully it is the beginning of 5G era in Singapore. The sunk in CAPEX should be recovered in the long term. The prospects of enterprise and cybersecurity business seems rosy too though they do not contribute much to the overall cashflow.

The recovery of Starhub will be a long and rugged journey. It could be 5 to 10 years. I can only continue collect dividends, wait patiently and secretly hope that a sugar daddy appear to acquire Starhub just like how Keppel did to M1.

Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Bought Comfortdelgro

I bought 5,000 shares of ComfortDelGro (CDG) today using the proceeds from the sale of FCOT in SRS.

CDG share price plunged to its lowest in the past year and breached the support of 2.13 after they announced their lustre FY2019 results on 14 Feb 2020. After my order at 2.09 was filled, it continue to dip to 2.06.

While revenue increased by $100m, net profit decreased $40.6m or 11.3%. This is not a surprise considering the overheads from its acquisitions and disruption of its taxi business due to emerging technologies favouring private hire vehicles.

The main surprise is the cut in dividends from 6.15 cents to 5.29 cents. Factoring in the interim dividend of 4.5 cents, the total dividend for FY2019 is 9.79 cents. At 2.09, this is a 4.68% yield which is not too bad but it is probable that current dividend is not sustainable if the cashflow continues to drop below  $600m for >2b outstanding shares.

I decided to take up this short term position trying to catch a possible quick rebound. If the share price plunged further, I will hold to collect FY2020 dividends and average down at below 2.00 when the opportunity arise.

Hopefully the stimulus for the rebound comes from the support package announced by the government in Budget 2020 or from a dead cat bounce.

Thanks for reading.

With Love & Peace,
Qiongster

Net Worth crawling towards SGD 1 million

Unveiling my Live Rich Life Free Net Worth!

My net worth has surpassed SGD900k for the very first time and hit the HIGHEST in my life.

This is after the latest CPF contributions for Jan 2020 and having collected Feb's paycheck.

I include CPF numbers into computation of my net worth because I still believe the numbers are my illiquid assets.

I also included the surrender value of my whole life insurance, endowment plans and savings plans into my net worth.

As I do not own car or property yet, I have no loans and my very low liabilities are due to some credit cards debts only.

I understated the value of my Supplementary Retirement Scheme Account (SRS) by accounting for only the amount contributed to SRS. Though I only contributed $55.9k in the past few years, the portfolio has actually surpassed $68k.

I have always been adopting a conservative slow and steady approach towards investing. I used to trade and do not keep any long positions. Less than 30% of net worth is invested in the stock market  and I have a high proportion of cash in fixed deposits and savings bonds. I do not dare to hold above 50% investment position. I still believe that Cash is King and by holding war chests of cash, we can well prepare ourselves in times of emergency or capture good opportunities in times of crisis. I will continue to be slow and steady in my investment journey but I know that I am still very far behind in terms of achieving full financial freedom. The journey is tough and rugged but it is definitely not impossible!

In 2020,  I intend to grind it out and march towards achieving a net worth of SGD 1 million. I will continue to live frugality and simply. Being a millionaire means nothing much actually in today's world however, psychologically it will be a morale booster and will give me the confidence to take on riskier investments for higher returns since I can well afford to lose. Coming from a low income family, the desire to achieve this millionaire feat was a dream and if I could reach this milestone, would be a mini achievement for myself. 

Moving forward, I am tempted to buy a car and/or a property to contribute to the economy. I have applied the Toa Payoh BTO today to try my luck and making a step forward in property purchase.

Besides the pursuit of wealth, it is also important to stay healthy in the face of Covid-19 virus and also exercise regularly to keep fit. 

Thanks for reading!

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster

Site survey of Toa Payoh Ridge - Feb 2020 HDB BTO

Having visited the site of Canberra Vista, I remembered that a few months ago in Oct 2019, we have also visited the site of Toa Payoh Ridge.

We wanted to have a sense of the environment and amenities nearby Caldecott MRT before deciding if this BTO project is worth applying.

The site survey began with a visit to the exhibit of Toa Payoh Town at HDB Hub Basement.

We then walked from Toa Payoh Central to Caldecott MRT. It took around 20 mins under the scorching sun.

From Caldecott MRT, we took a 6 mins walk to Toa Payoh Crest, a 2012 HDB BTO project which TOP in 2017. This project is similar to Toa Payoh Ridge as it also has 4 blocks of 40 storey flats and they are northwest and southeast facing.

We headed up to 25th and 40th storey of all 4 blocks in Toa Payoh Crest - Blk 131B, Blk 131A, Blk 130B and Blk 130A to catch a glimpse of what views they offer.

View from 25th storey of Blk 131B - The plot of construction site with piling works is where Toa Payoh Ridge reside

At 40th storey, you get a better northern view. On the top left is Braddell Heights, the former HUDC that attempted to went en-bloc 2 times unsuccessfully. On the top right, the school is RGS (secondary). The top landscape is Bishan and Ang Mo Kio.

A clear view of the entire Toa Payoh Ridge plot. Once construction completes, the residents of Blk131B of Toa Payoh Crest will be blocked and no longer enjoy such breathtaking Northern scenary of Singapore.

We then went up to the 25th storey of Blk130B and from the rubbish chute area, this is a glimpse of what we can see. The top landscape is Macritchie Reservoir. The orange buildings are Thomson 800 condo, a freehold property along Thomson Road.

This is the scenic view from corridor of 40th storey of Blk 130B in Toa Payoh Crest. This is the scene we can expect to enjoy from the bed rooms and living room windows of Toa Payoh Ridge too. The construction is for Caldecott MRT Thomson line.

Last but not least, this is the view from another Blk131A of Toa Payoh Crest. This view again will be blocked by the uprising blocks of Toa Payoh Ridge.

Besides the panoramic views that one can enjoy by living in Toa Payoh Ridge, for other units in the project, it is very convenient to make a short walk to the nearby mrt stations and commute to work or travel by public transport. Amenities wise, Toa Payoh offers a Hawker centre in almost every Lorong, and both Toa Payoh Central and Braddell has many shops that can offer more than what we ask for. Top schools in Singapore are within a stone's throw. Located at the heart of Singapore, there is little reason to say no to living in this precinct. 

At the time of writing, it is no wonder why this project has attracted overwhelming applications. 6 times for a 3 room unit and close to 7 times for a 4 room unit.

Paying a $10 for a chance to live in Toa Payoh East or Caldecott, the new gem of Toa Payoh. Why not?

Thanks for reading the site survey report of Toa Payoh Ridge. 

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster

Site survey of Canberra Vista - Feb 2020 HDB BTO

I went down to the plot of Canberra Vista for a site survey of this BTO project today.

I wanted to check out the environment, amenities and flats located nearby Canberra MRT to have a sense of how it is like living in Canberra Vista.

I met up with Ms Doraemon at Yishun MRT and we took a 15 min walk to Canberra to have a sense of the distance of Canberra from Yishun. It is a smooth stroll along the park connector along the MRT track.

As we closed in on Canberra MRT, we were greeted by Sungei Simpang Kiri, the blue river depicted in the artist impression of Canberra Vista. I thought it is really a river, but actually it is a big drain canal filled with dirty water and litter. Disappointed that artist impression can lie.

Sungei Simpang Kiri

Nice River?!

Piling works has commenced for Canberra Vista

Then we went to check out the newly built Canberra MRT Station. It is extremely quiet and barely has less than 10 people on a Sat afternoon. An MRT Station in a ghost town?

We also checked out the Canberra Plaza which will TOP soon.

The usual shops that will be opened in Canberra Plaza. They will serve the bare essentials and needs of the residents of Canberra. But the Plaza is a far cry from a Shopping Mall.

And we headed up to the 12th storey of a newly built HDB block in Eastlink I @ Canberra BTO to check out the view. From top and far, the drain canal indeed looks like a river. The construction site is the plot where Canberra Vista is located.

We tried to walk to Sembawang Shopping Centre by cutting through Jalan Sendudok Park.

It is a scenic park near a private estate enclave. A handful of joggers can be seen. This park will be swarmed with more people when the Canberra Vista project is TOP.

After cutting through the park, we then took a 15 min walk along Jalan Sendudok and Jalan Jeruju to reach Sembawang Shopping Centre, which has many more shops and is larger scale than Canberra Plaza. It has a Giant hypermart, Daiso, Value shop, fast food eateries such as Burger King and Chic-a-boo etc. It should serve the residents of Canberra Vista well in future.

I believe that Canberra Vista is still a nice and peaceful place to live in. Located beside an MRT station, it offers convenience for residents commuting to work and travel. In terms of amenities, it does not have the richness of a matured estate but with Canberra Plaza at the doorstep to server basic essentials and a shopping mall nearby, upcoming Bukit Canberra Integrated Hub nearby at Sembawang, there is much for those lucky applicants of Canberra Vista to look forward to. This project offers great value and opportunity to live in an uncoming new town and a great investment for young couples to make their first pot of gold. As of writing, it is no wonder that the application rate has hit close to 6 times for a 4 room unit and 10 times for a 5 room unit.

Thanks for reading my site survey report of Canberra Vista for Feb 2020 HDB BTO. I will also post another report on Toa Payoh Ridge from the site visit in Oct 2019. Stay tuned!  

With Love & Peace,

Qiongster