Thursday, December 25, 2025

Why I Buy a Car to Derail Financial Freedom


I remember vividly when I was 3 year old, the day I first laid eyes on my first toy.

A red metal toy car, it was love at first sight.

I would roll it across the floor, push it along imaginary roads, and even pretend to drive it.

This toy car deeply culminated my lifelong liking for red cars then. The vibrant red hue, the sleek design—it all captivated my young heart. It was more than just a toy; it was the spark that ignited my love for cars.

Unfortunately this toy car was the only car my family could afford. During family gatherings, I would feel a pang of embarrassment as relatives boasted about their new cars while mocking my dad for not owning one. The subtle jabs about not knowing how to open a car door stung, but they fueled my determination to one day own a car of my own.

Fortunately, I had the opportunity to drive a first real car when I was 18 years old for free. It was a dirty green land rover as I was nominated to attend a free SAF driving course during national service although I was not in driver vocation. Subsequently, I gotten my SAF class 4 license after passing the driving test on 3 Tonner on my 3rd attempt. As I did not clock enough mileage during my NS, I could not qualify for conversion to free civilian driving license.

After started work, I attended driving school to acquire a driving license which I passed on my second attempt within 3 months. I have been contemplating about getting a car of my own since more than a decade ago. However I kept procrastinating and pondered seriously about the dollars and cents as I was hungrier towards achieving financial freedom than fulfilling my dream of owning a car.

Fast forward to now, I have finally fulfilled this dream as I recently collected the key to a pre-owned Honda HR-V. Owning a car has been a significant milestone, but it was not a decision made lightly. After careful consideration and delayed gratification for the past decade, I have realized that it aligns with my broader financial goals and enhances my overall quality of life.

Here are the ten reasons that led me to decide on purchasing a depreciating piece of metal which could derail or slow down my journey towards financial freedom.

1. Fulfill a Lifelong Dream

The allure of owning a car was my childhood dream culminated from playing toy car and has been a bucket list item in my life. While fortunate to be born in a safe and prosperous city, I understand the need to incur exorbitant high costs to use the roads in a land-scarce city state. I believe that my life would more more fulfilling if I could clear this bucket list item so that I could live my life once with no regrets.

2. Enhance Quality of Life

A car offers unparalleled convenience, flexibility and privacy. Owning a car empowers me to have full control and freedom of my transportation and journey of going anywhere, anytime, without having to plan my trips around Bus-MRT-Walk (BMW) or restriction by public transportation schedules. The private mobile space and freedom that a driver could enjoy is invaluable, especially in land scarce Singapore. The ability to travel independently and spontaneously is priceless too. Such intangible benefits cannot be easily measured in terms of dollars and cents as I am a person who values freedom and autonomy very much.

3. Enhanced mobility

Owning a car significantly enhances my daily life by boosting mobility options and efficiency. The transport permutations in my life will increase. I could optimise daily routine by seamlessly combine multiple tasks into a single trip, such as driving to work, picking up groceries, go shopping, make errands and meeting friends for lunch at favourite hawker centres.

I will be also able to spend quality time in the car while driving or after parking the car. I could also help my friends with hitches or errands whenever they require it.

4. Expand accessibility

Private transportation opens up opportunities to explore spots for exercise, relaxation and recreation. For exercising, jogging in East Coast Park, Pasir Ris Park or even in Sentosa would become a possible reality. Hiking in Fort Canning Hill, Bukit Timah Hill or visit to Dempsey Hill would be easier too. I could also visit more parks, beaches, places of interests, malls located around the island of Singapore. For work, I could easily travel to alternative office sites for meetings and claim for parking and transport costs.

Other more rustic places in Singapore such as Seletar Aerospace park, Kranji, Canterbury Road, Changi village, Mount Faber are well suited to be visited with car.

5. Emotional Fulfillment and Lifestyle Investment

Owning a car can bring a sense of pride, boost self esteem and provide a sense accomplishment. Not to show off but it is a tangible reward for hard work and a symbol of personal success. This achievement can motivate one to work work harder and smarter and strive for greater heights in order to boost more income in order to afford and justify the need for the car, thereby fueling one's ambition and drive. While a car depreciates, it can also be considered an investment in one's lifestyle and overall well-being.

6. Comfort

The weather in Singapore has been getting hotter and more humid every year due to global warming. As I am a person who sweat easily, I always perspire buckets while waiting for buses at the bus stops or train at the MRT platforms. While Singapore's public transport is still considered leading and world class, transferring trains of different lines still require considerable amount of walking in the tunnels, climbing escalators and so on. All these are additional effort factored in when taking public transport. To be able to sit down comfortably on cushy leather seats in the air-condition of a personal vehicle is a luxury enjoyment in Singapore. 

In addition, the recent year-end weather has been erratic with heavy showers in later afternoons. Unless there is flooding, it is still more comfortable to drive under the rain than to be armed with umbrellas after alighting from public transportation.

7. Time and Productivity

Time is the most important resource in life. It is an invaluable, priceless finite resource which cannot be calculated in financial worth.

Having utilised public transport for more than 3 decades, I have wasted so much waiting time, sacrifices standing and squeezing in crowded buses and trains.

While I may not drive everyday, it certainly reduces travelling time while making errands, travelling to and fro from office.  I took more than 50 mins to reach office when I could spend less than half the time on car.

I could largely reduce my reliance on public transportation which generally costs more time especially during peak hours.

8. Practicality

I can load up groceries as large hyper-marts with fresher and more abundant groceries such as fruits and veggies for at least a week's supply instead of making multiple trips to supermarkets. As I could visit more malls with ease, my shopping options for other necessities or clothes also expanded. I could also donate away old stuffs or make deals on Carousell easily with private transport option.

9. Practise driving

Driving a car requires skill, focus, and responsibility. My active driving days were during national service more than 20 years ago and during early working days while attending driving school lessons and driving tests. I have gotten my driving license more than a decade ago and I wanted to refresh and hone my driving skills again. I wanted to have a feel of driving on the roads in Singapore, the most expensive city to own a private vehicle. Getting a pre-owned car allows me to familiarise with driving and the roads and traffic in Singapore without a huge outlay if I were to purchase a brand new car.

10. Balance Financial Goals with Life Experiences

Money earned not spent is not truly my money in the sense that it is not actively contributing to my life or well-being. While saving up money may provide a sense of security or stability, it is essentially dormant and not realizing its full potential.

The purpose of money is to be used to acquire goods, services, and experiences that enhance our lives. When money is simply saved or hoarded, it is not fulfilling its intended purpose. Instead, it could be used to improve your quality of life, whether through education, travel, personal development, or simply enjoying everyday experiences. Of course, saving money is important for financial security and planning for the future. I have been very frugal throughout my life. However, I gradually begin to realise the importance of striking a balance between saving and spending. Excessive saving can lead to missed opportunities and a less fulfilling life.

I do recognize the many downsides which owning a car would bring such as the stress of driving, parking, burning away cash ineffectively, burning away fuel to cause damage to the environment and so on. Yet, there is an undeniable pull toward the freedom and autonomy it offers, providing a personal sanctuary and a level of convenience that public infrastructure simply cannot match. That explains why more 600k people in Singapore are still willing to pay the sky high COEs to own a private car.

Last but not least, a car embodies the fruits of my labour for the past decade, greatly boost one's confidence and ego. I believe it is a great motivation to spur myself to work harder, contribute more and achieve greater heights in life, dreams and goals.

In conclusion, I have decided to start burning away some cash, slowing down my journey towards financial freedom while focusing on the intangible benefits of living life to the fullest.

The Power of Dreams! ⭐

Thank you for reading. Memento Mori!

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and after careful consideration of risks and potential rewards.

With love & peace,
Qiongster

Wednesday, December 24, 2025

Passive Income in 2025 Exceeds $40k!

 


Merry Christmas Eve!

As the year 2025 draws to a close, let me take a moment to reflect on my passive income journey.

From 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2025, I received the following dividends as passive income.

$303.00 SSB (1 Oct)
$147.50 SSB (1 Oct) SRS
$613.00 SSB (1 Nov)
$315.00 Guocoland (19 Nov)
$750.75 DBS (24 Nov)
$600.00 DBS (24 Nov) SRS
$168.72 Keppel Reit (25 Nov) SRS
$187.15 Astrea 7 A-1 PE Bond (27 Nov)
$954.08 Frasers Centrepoint Trust (28 Nov)
$135.50 Netlink Trust (28 Nov)
$88.90 Suntec Reit (28 Nov)
$492.00 SSB (1 Dec)
$402.00 MPACT (4 Dec)
$667.80 Mapletree Ind Trust (10 Dec)
$397.11 Mapletree Log Trust (16 Dec)
$885.00 Frasers L&C Trust (23 Dec)
$854.00 Aims Apac Reit (24 Dec)

They amount to $7,961.51.

My passive income for the first 9 months of 2025 is $32,288.14

Altogether, my passive income for 2025 is

$40,249.65

This is 26% higher than the $31,746.03 of passive income for year 2024.

My target for 2025 is $36k and I am glad that my actual passive income surpassed it.

My ultimate goal to own an $1m investment portfolio generating at least $50k of annual passive income. Currently, I am at more than half of the journey as my SGX income, bond portfolio and SRS ultra long-term portfolios are valued at around $800K and passive income of $40k has crossed the 80% milestone of $50k.

As we are moving back to the low interest rates in light of potential recession and economic slowdown, the impact of low interest rates will fuel the resurgence of S-Reits and expected to strengthen the market prices of higher yield incoming-producing assets for the next few years, resulting in the strong performance of S-Reits.  I remain optimistic holding a portfolio with a significant allocation to S-Reits alongside safe havens such as risk-free Singapore Savings Bonds and fixed deposits in local banks. In the next phase of my investment journey, I will slowly accumulate high-quality US stocks for growth and target to hit US$100k by the end of 2026.

2025 has been a peaceful and rewarding year despite being clouded by immense uncertainties and fears about inflation, recession, war, politics and so on.

I am optimistic and believe that 2026 will be a better year despite the looming recession and potential global economic slowdown which could present more opportunities for investors.

I anticipate the Federal Reserve to remain accommodative towards interest rates cuts to help mitigate global economic slowdown while balancing inflation concurrently. I embrace the resilience of the real estate market, with the potential for REITs to increase rentals and continue paying consistent dividends. The world will go round no matter what happens.

As investors, we shall continue to acquire income-producing businesses and assets to enhance our future passive income streams. Let us also look forward to the upcoming interest payouts from CPF in Jan 2026.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and after careful consideration of risks and potential rewards.

Thanks for reading!

With love & peace,
Qiongster

Sunday, December 21, 2025

My Last Tax Relief Move in 2025

After Medishield Life premiums were deducted days ago, my CPF Medisave account (MA) is no longer at the Basic Healthcare Sum (BHS) of $75,500 for 2025.





I sensed this opportunity for a Medisave top-up to qualify for some tax relief. 

As my CPF Special Account has already surpassed the full retirement sum of $213,000 for 2025, I could not make voluntary top-up under Retirement Scheme Top-Up to qualify for tax relief.

A maximum tax relief of $8,000 applies when we top up our own CPF SA or RA, and an additional tax relief of $8,000 if we top up loved ones' CPF SA or RA. The combined $16k tax relief on CPF cash top-ups is shared with any contribution to MA of our own or loved ones.

I have already top up my mum CPF RA with $8k and my own Supplementary Retirement Scheme account by $15,300 early this year to qualify for tax relief.

The other options for tax savings would be to enroll in courses, make donations to qualified charity organisations or to make top up to Medisave account.

Self top-up to Medisave account is the last feasible route for me to enjoy additional tax relief for 2025

Effectively, I would be making cash top-up of $729 which is the total premium costs back to my CPF Medisave account.

There it goes. Using PayNow for instant top-up and reflection in the CPF transaction.



Restoring my MA back to BHS, allowing $729 to yield 4% for Dec 2025 in Medisave and saving 15% of income taxes worth around $100+.



Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading!

With love & peace,
Qiongster

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Net Worth Update Dec 2025 | SGD 2.068m New Record High!

   


In December 2025, my net worth soars to a record high of SGD 2.06m.

This milestone is driven by collection of salary, bonuses, CPF contributions, stable performances from core investment holdings in S-REITs and local banks; and successful capture of US option premiums from tech stocks.

My conservative net worth allocation is as follows:

Safe Heavens (59%)

CPF (33%): bulk and foundation of my retirement savings. I intend to make cash top-ups to my Medisave account after the Medishield Life premium deduction in Dec 25 to enjoy tax reliefs.

Cash and war chest (17%): Liquid reserves strategically stashed in fixed deposits and Fullerton cash funds earning around 1% p.a. provide peace of mind and security for unexpected expenses or investment opportunities.

Bonds (9%): A balanced portfolio of low-risk Singapore Savings Bonds and Astrea PE Bonds ensures stability and provides steady source of passive income.

Retirement Savings and Protection (16%)

SRS (12%): A tax-deferred engine for supplementary retirement savings, diversified across $30k of SSB, local stocks such as Comfortdelgro, DBS, OCBC, Keppel DC Reit, Keppel Reit and Wilmar, and idle funds deployed in money market funds.

Insurance (4%): A Prudential whole life insurance plan and other savings plans will provide me with 6-digit lump sum payout after my retirement while offering continual protection for peace of mind.

Equities (25%)

Stocks and Reits (25%): A real estate-focused portfolio of stocks and Reits provides long-term dividend income and stability. This financial asset class is riskier, more volatile and sensitive to interest rates but offers me the opportunity to indirectly own diversified portfolios of industrial, retail and commercial properties locally, and around the world for consistent passive income. 

To enhance returns, I have decided to build up the US growth stock portfolio to include the likes of tech compounders such as MSFT, AMZN and NVDA while also actively selling cash-secured put options to collect premiums, a strategy aimed at either generating income or acquiring desired assets at a discount.

The Attainment of FIRE

While net worth remains the critical compass of Financial Independence, Retire Early (FIRE) reflecting the assets required to sustainably fund living expenses, the philosophy itself transcends mere accumulation. Having already exceeded SGD 2 million in assets and generated over $40,000 in annual passive income (details to be blogged separately), I am pleased to achieve FIRE before age 40.

FIRE is, fundamentally, about reclaiming control: control over our time, our choices, and the design of our lives. It creates the ultimate flexibility and power to choose to work if we want to, to pursue passions full-time, or, as I am currently experiencing, to take a 15-day break for self-healing, recharging, and resetting without financial strain.

I may not retire from full-time job immediately, but financial independence grants me the ultimate leverage moving forward: the freedom to adopt a truly carefree—and where necessary, 'f* you'—attitude in the workplace. This journey is a deliberate investment in security and a growing buffer against life's unpredictability.

With the financial milestone of SGD 2 million successfully attained, the focus shifts decisively from accumulation to tangible cash flow and long-term expansion. My updated targets for 2026 are:

  • Passive Income: Adjusting the goal to $48,000 in annual passive income.

  • Growth Portfolio: Establishing a US growth portfolio valued above USD150,000 as part of my total SGD1 million investment portfolio.

  • Net Worth: Aiming for a net worth of SGD 2.25 million by the end of 2026 and SGD 3 million by the end of 2028.

  • Retirement Early: Aiming for a step-down in full-time employment by the end of 2030.

In the coming weeks, I am secretly looking forward to a potential >$30,000 in 'free' interest from CPF on 1 January 2026 to further anchor this wealth foundation.

Financial independence is not an end; it is the power to design a life we do not need a vacation from, with the space to breathe, to live, and to thrive.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster

Friday, December 12, 2025

A Forgotten S-Reit Acquired MBC & Launched Preferential Offer

 

Marina Bay Financial Towers

For the past couple of years, Keppel REIT (SGX:K71U) has perhaps been the quieter sibling in the bustling Singapore REIT family. While industrial, logistics, and data center REITs enjoyed a booming run, and retail trusts benefited from the post-pandemic recovery, office REITs like Keppel Reit were often overshadowed by concerns over remote work and rising interest rates. 

I have held a position of 10,351 shares of Keppel Reit in my Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account, viewing it as a core, long-term defensive play. Keppel Reit was in fact my maiden investment using SRS funds in 2016 as I thrilled at the dream of owning a tiny slice of the MBFC skyscrapers for office rental collection to align with my retirement aspirations.

But a major announcement this past Thursday, December 11, 2025, has shifted my posture from defensive to aggressive.

The management executed a major, strategic move that immediately changes the complexion of the REIT and its investment proposition. This is not just news; it is a clear, calculated opportunity to supercharge my retirement funds.

1. The Core Acquisition: MBFC Tower 3

Keppel Reit is acquiring an additional one-third interest in the iconic Marina Bay Financial Centre (MBFC) Tower 3 for an agreed property value of approximately S$1.45 billion.

  • Resulting Stake: This move dramatically increases KREIT’s ownership in this Grade A asset from one-third to a two-thirds controlling interest.

  • Pricing: The acquisition was secured at a slight discount of 1.0% to the property's independent valuation, ensuring KREIT acquired the asset at a fair, if not attractive, price.

2. The Funding Mechanism: A Substantial Preferential Offering

To partially finance this major acquisition, KREIT is conducting a fully underwritten, non-renounceable Preferential Offering (PO) to raise gross proceeds of approximately S$886.3 million.

  • The Ratio: Entitled unitholders are being offered 23 new units for every 100 existing units held.

  • The Price: The new units are offered at a fixed price of S$0.96 per unit, representing a significant 6.8% discount to the undisturbed market price of S$1.03 (as of December 10, 2025).

  • The timeline is as follows:


3. Immediate Implications

This is a defensive and offensive move:

  • Strengthening the Core: It doubles down on the premium Singapore office sector, boosting KREIT's exposure to Singapore from 75.8% to 79% of its portfolio value.

  • The Trade-Off (The DPU Dilution): While the deal strengthens the portfolio long-term, the sheer volume of new units issued (approximately 23.9% of the existing unit base) means a widely reported expectation of short-term Distribution Per Unit (DPU) dilution.

What I will do?

My decision to fully participate in this PO is a direct response tailored specifically to my retirement goals.

A. Maximising My Entitlement

Based on my existing holding of 10,351 Keppel Reit shares in my SRS account, my entitlement under the PO is calculated as follows:


Total Cost: Subscribing to all 2,380 new units at the PO price of $0.96 costs S$2,284.80.

Post-PO Holding: This subscription will increase my total Keppel Reit position to 12,731 shares, significantly deepening my exposure to this high-quality asset base.

However, I will be applying for excess preferential shares after redeeming my SRS funds stashed away in Fullerton SGD cash funds. Including my entitlement of 2,380 shares, I intend to apply for at least 8,000 shares amounting to S$7,680.

B. The Conviction: Potential Upside and more Passive Income overcome Dilution

I am participating fully because I believe the long-term value creation from the MBFC acquisition far outweighs the short-term DPU hit.

The passing rent at MBFC Tower 3 is reported to be approximately 10% below the current Marina Bay average. Given the projected scarcity of new Grade A office supply in the core CBD over the next few years, Keppel Reit is poised to capture strong positive rental reversion when current leases expire. This rental upside, combined with the immediate discount achieved via the PO, makes this a high-conviction trade for my retirement portfolio.

As I have held Keppel Reit for more than 9 years now, after factoring in more than S$5k of dividends collected, my average holding cost is merely $0.48 per share. This preferential offering exercise presents me a great opportunity to add shares and average up without incurring much trading fees.

KREIT is a pure-play Grade A office REIT, with a heavily Singapore-centric portfolio, which is highly prized for its stability. The MBFC acquisition boosts Singapore exposure (post-deal), reinforcing its status as a major landlord in the prime Core CBD (Marina Bay, One Raffles Quay, Ocean Financial Centre). The portfolio-wide occupancy rate of above 96% remains robust, significantly higher than the typical sector average, indicating high tenant demand for its premium spaces. In Q3 2025, the REIT continued to report double-digit positive rental reversions, showing that market rents are rising when old leases expire, a strong signal for future income growth.

The preferential offering, despite raising capital at a discount, is expected to slightly lower the pro forma Net Asset Value to approximately S$1.18 per unit. Even at this adjusted value, the REIT's units are still trading well below book value. Trading below NAV means you are buying Grade A assets like the one-third of MBFC Tower 3 and the existing majority stake in Ocean Financial Centre, at a structural discount.

While office REIT yields have been pressured by higher interest rates, KREIT historically offers a competitive yield. Keppel Reit's current dividend yield is approximately 5.5%. The PO is funding a long-term strategic asset, which means the DPU is expected to be dilutive by 3.6% to 6.4% in the short term, depending on the final cost of debt. This is the main short-term trade-off. 

The investment decision hinges on the belief that the superior quality of the MBFC Tower 3 acquisition will drive accelerated rental income growth once current leases are renewed at positive rental reversion, quickly recovering the DPU dilution and pushing future yields higher.

In summary, Keppel REIT is strategically acquiring a valuable asset (MBFC Tower 3) at an opportune time (discount to valuation, while market rents are rising). The current valuation, characterized by its P/NAV discount and competitive yield, provides an attractive entry point for long-term investors willing to look past the short-term DPU dilution.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Added Mapletree Industrial Trust - ChatGPT AI Influenced Decision

Toa Payoh North 1, a property owned by Mapletree Industrial Trust

I added 5,000 shares of Mapletree Industrial Trust (MIT) today and this decision is largely influenced by AI.

I have long been wanting to increase my investment in income-producing assets such as S-Reits or local banks.

I seek ChatGPT AI for guidance and here is what I got:










I then asked ChatGPT to perform technical analysis on MIT and explain its recent price weakness and predict its future price movement.





Thoroughly convinced by ChatGPT AI, I believe the time is now ripe to make an addition as the Fed just announced another rate cut of 25 basis points and hawkishly guarantees that interest rates will only stay low rather than hike in the future. I agree with ChatGPT that the share price of MIT could recover by at least 20% and its DPU will gradually recover over time.

MIT will be announcing its results in Jan 2026. By adding shares now, I will get to increase the dividends to be collected from MIT in 2026.

MIT is severely undervalued compared to it's historical valuations and future cashflows. DBS valued MIT at a target price of $2.60 based on discounted future cashflows and factoring in reduced future incomes from non renewal of leases. OCBC has a target price of $2.39 for MIT while UOB Kay Hian recommends holding MIT with a target price of $2.22. The last preferential offering in 2021 was at a price of $2.64.

MIT is still a resilient Reit with a portfolio of well located flatted factories, high-tech buildings with specifications catered to IT, media, bio-medical and varied industrial sectors. This diversification across different segments reduces its reliance on any single type of industrial property and the specific market conditions affecting it. Its large and diverse tenant base of over 2,000 tenants minimizes the impact of non-renewal or financial difficulties of any single tenant.

I am not bothered about short-term volatility but rather focused on long-term income investing in a well managed industrial Reit owning freehold data centres with long Wale and stable DPU above 6.5%.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster

Added Microsoft

 


I added some shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) today as its share price tanked, seizing a macro-driven discount. The dip was primarily fueled by the market's reaction to the Fed's 'hawkish cut,' compounded by investor concerns over the high cost of MSFT's new, massive AI infrastructure spending announced for India and Canada.

I believe Microsoft is a foundational, long-term investment, leveraging its dominant enterprise ecosystem to secure the best-in-class position in the generative AI revolution via Azure and Copilot.



To understand why this was a buying opportunity, we must first understand the temporary factors that caused the panic selling. The decline was triggered by a one-two punch of disappointing news:

  • The Macro Punch: The 'Hawkish Cut': The Federal Reserve confirmed an expected rate cut, but the accompanying future guidance was far less 'dovish' than hoped. The signal for rates remaining 'higher for longer' directly hits the valuation of high-growth tech stocks like MSFT. Their value relies heavily on distant future profits (from Azure and AI), and a higher discount rate makes those future profits worth less today. This created an indiscriminate sell-off.

  • The Micro Jab: AI Cost and Monetization Anxiety: Recent reports highlighted investor concerns over the massive capital expenditure (CapEx) required for new AI infrastructure (including the recent, large investments announced for India and Canada). Furthermore, anxiety persists over the pace of monetizing its core AI features (like Copilot). The market is punishing the stock for spending on the future, despite its necessity."



The short-term noises distract from Microsoft’s powerful intrinsic value. This is not a speculative AI play; this is an investment in a bedrock of the global economy.

The Best-in-Class AI Moat

Microsoft is a foundational, long-term investment, leveraging its dominant enterprise ecosystem to secure the best-in-class position in the generative AI revolution.

  • Azure: Azure is the primary beneficiary of the AI arms race. It is the cloud platform that powers the vast majority of enterprise AI solutions and benefits directly from the immense compute demand from partners like OpenAI.

  • Copilot & Enterprise Integration: MSFT has seamlessly integrated OpenAI's technology into the core products that virtually every major corporation uses: Office 365, Teams, and Dynamics. This integration is the most valuable and defensible moat in the software world—it's not just an optional tool, but a fundamental upgrade to workplace productivity.

Financial Fortress

Despite the massive CapEx, Microsoft operates with a balance sheet that few can match:

  • Massive Free Cash Flow (FCF): MSFT consistently generates tens of billions in FCF, providing the capital required for its strategic investments, acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders.

  • Cloud Leadership: The Intelligent Cloud segment (Azure, Windows Server) remains its most profitable engine, providing reliable, high-margin revenue growth regardless of the economic climate."




Microsoft’s fundamentals remain some of the strongest in the entire S&P 500. Azure’s cloud momentum, its accelerating AI monetization, and its unmatched penetration into enterprise software give it a durable competitive advantage few companies can rival. When a business with near-monopolistic economics and 30%+ long-term EPS growth prospects retraces from the $490s into the low $470s, I see value. Market volatility doesn’t alter intrinsic value — it just changes entry prices. Buying during moments of weakness, not euphoria, has always been a winning strategy in compounding wealth.

I believe this dip created a crucial buying opportunity, allowing me to own a core part of the AI revolution, one of the best compounders in tech with diversification (cloud, enterprise software, AI infrastructure), recurring revenue model, and balance-sheet strength give it a “moat + growth + stability” trifecta.

Over the next 5 years by 2030, I view US $750–900 as a realistic target range for Microsoft.  Surpassing $1,000 is plausible especially if AI/cloud adoption accelerates globally.

Microsoft is not just a long-term investment; it is the cornerstone for capturing the immense value created by the future of enterprise AI.

I now hold a foundational position of 10 Microsoft shares and plan to strategically accumulate more whenever opportune market pullbacks arise. Otherwise, I will maintain discipline through a dollar-cost averaging approach to build the position over time.


Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster