Friday, December 12, 2025

A Forgotten S-Reit Acquired MBC & Launched Preferential Offer

 

Marina Bay Financial Towers

For the past couple of years, Keppel REIT (SGX:K71U) has perhaps been the quieter sibling in the bustling Singapore REIT family. While industrial, logistics, and data center REITs enjoyed a booming run, and retail trusts benefited from the post-pandemic recovery, office REITs like Keppel Reit were often overshadowed by concerns over remote work and rising interest rates. 

I have held a position of 10,351 shares of Keppel Reit in my Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account, viewing it as a core, long-term defensive play. Keppel Reit was in fact my maiden investment using SRS funds in 2016 as I thrilled at the dream of owning a tiny slice of the MBFC skyscrapers for office rental collection to align with my retirement aspirations.

But a major announcement this past Thursday, December 11, 2025, has shifted my posture from defensive to aggressive.

The management executed a major, strategic move that immediately changes the complexion of the REIT and its investment proposition. This is not just news; it is a clear, calculated opportunity to supercharge my retirement funds.

1. The Core Acquisition: MBFC Tower 3

Keppel Reit is acquiring an additional one-third interest in the iconic Marina Bay Financial Centre (MBFC) Tower 3 for an agreed property value of approximately S$1.45 billion.

  • Resulting Stake: This move dramatically increases KREIT’s ownership in this Grade A asset from one-third to a two-thirds controlling interest.

  • Pricing: The acquisition was secured at a slight discount of 1.0% to the property's independent valuation, ensuring KREIT acquired the asset at a fair, if not attractive, price.

2. The Funding Mechanism: A Substantial Preferential Offering

To partially finance this major acquisition, KREIT is conducting a fully underwritten, non-renounceable Preferential Offering (PO) to raise gross proceeds of approximately S$886.3 million.

  • The Ratio: Entitled unitholders are being offered 23 new units for every 100 existing units held.

  • The Price: The new units are offered at a fixed price of S$0.96 per unit, representing a significant 6.8% discount to the undisturbed market price of S$1.03 (as of December 10, 2025).

  • The timeline is as follows:


3. Immediate Implications

This is a defensive and offensive move:

  • Strengthening the Core: It doubles down on the premium Singapore office sector, boosting KREIT's exposure to Singapore from 75.8% to 79% of its portfolio value.

  • The Trade-Off (The DPU Dilution): While the deal strengthens the portfolio long-term, the sheer volume of new units issued (approximately 23.9% of the existing unit base) means a widely reported expectation of short-term Distribution Per Unit (DPU) dilution.

What I will do?

My decision to fully participate in this PO is a direct response tailored specifically to my retirement goals.

A. Maximising My Entitlement

Based on my existing holding of 10,351 Keppel Reit shares in my SRS account, my entitlement under the PO is calculated as follows:


Total Cost: Subscribing to all 2,380 new units at the PO price of $0.96 costs S$2,284.80.

Post-PO Holding: This subscription will increase my total Keppel Reit position to 12,731 shares, significantly deepening my exposure to this high-quality asset base.

However, I will be applying for excess preferential shares after redeeming my SRS funds stashed away in Fullerton SGD cash funds. Including my entitlement of 2,380 shares, I intend to apply for at least 8,000 shares amounting to S$7,680.

B. The Conviction: Potential Upside and more Passive Income overcome Dilution

I am participating fully because I believe the long-term value creation from the MBFC acquisition far outweighs the short-term DPU hit.

The passing rent at MBFC Tower 3 is reported to be approximately 10% below the current Marina Bay average. Given the projected scarcity of new Grade A office supply in the core CBD over the next few years, Keppel Reit is poised to capture strong positive rental reversion when current leases expire. This rental upside, combined with the immediate discount achieved via the PO, makes this a high-conviction trade for my retirement portfolio.

As I have held Keppel Reit for more than 9 years now, after factoring in more than S$5k of dividends collected, my average holding cost is merely $0.48 per share. This preferential offering exercise presents me a great opportunity to add shares and average up without incurring much trading fees.

KREIT is a pure-play Grade A office REIT, with a heavily Singapore-centric portfolio, which is highly prized for its stability. The MBFC acquisition boosts Singapore exposure (post-deal), reinforcing its status as a major landlord in the prime Core CBD (Marina Bay, One Raffles Quay, Ocean Financial Centre). The portfolio-wide occupancy rate of above 96% remains robust, significantly higher than the typical sector average, indicating high tenant demand for its premium spaces. In Q3 2025, the REIT continued to report double-digit positive rental reversions, showing that market rents are rising when old leases expire, a strong signal for future income growth.

The preferential offering, despite raising capital at a discount, is expected to slightly lower the pro forma Net Asset Value to approximately S$1.18 per unit. Even at this adjusted value, the REIT's units are still trading well below book value. Trading below NAV means you are buying Grade A assets like the one-third of MBFC Tower 3 and the existing majority stake in Ocean Financial Centre, at a structural discount.

While office REIT yields have been pressured by higher interest rates, KREIT historically offers a competitive yield. Keppel Reit's current dividend yield is approximately 5.5%. The PO is funding a long-term strategic asset, which means the DPU is expected to be dilutive by 3.6% to 6.4% in the short term, depending on the final cost of debt. This is the main short-term trade-off. 

The investment decision hinges on the belief that the superior quality of the MBFC Tower 3 acquisition will drive accelerated rental income growth once current leases are renewed at positive rental reversion, quickly recovering the DPU dilution and pushing future yields higher.

In summary, Keppel REIT is strategically acquiring a valuable asset (MBFC Tower 3) at an opportune time (discount to valuation, while market rents are rising). The current valuation, characterized by its P/NAV discount and competitive yield, provides an attractive entry point for long-term investors willing to look past the short-term DPU dilution.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Added Mapletree Industrial Trust - ChatGPT AI Influenced Decision

Toa Payoh North 1, a property owned by Mapletree Industrial Trust

I added 5,000 shares of Mapletree Industrial Trust (MIT) today and this decision is largely influenced by AI.

I have long been wanting to increase my investment in income-producing assets such as S-Reits or local banks.

I seek ChatGPT AI for guidance and here is what I got:










I then asked ChatGPT to perform technical analysis on MIT and explain its recent price weakness and predict its future price movement.





Thoroughly convinced by ChatGPT AI, I believe the time is now ripe to make an addition as the Fed just announced another rate cut of 25 basis points and hawkishly guarantees that interest rates will only stay low rather than hike in the future. I agree with ChatGPT that the share price of MIT could recover by at least 20% and its DPU will gradually recover over time.

MIT will be announcing its results in Jan 2026. By adding shares now, I will get to increase the dividends to be collected from MIT in 2026.

MIT is severely undervalued compared to it's historical valuations and future cashflows. DBS valued MIT at a target price of $2.60 based on discounted future cashflows and factoring in reduced future incomes from non renewal of leases. OCBC has a target price of $2.39 for MIT while UOB Kay Hian recommends holding MIT with a target price of $2.22. The last preferential offering in 2021 was at a price of $2.64.

MIT is still a resilient Reit with a portfolio of well located flatted factories, high-tech buildings with specifications catered to IT, media, bio-medical and varied industrial sectors. This diversification across different segments reduces its reliance on any single type of industrial property and the specific market conditions affecting it. Its large and diverse tenant base of over 2,000 tenants minimizes the impact of non-renewal or financial difficulties of any single tenant.

I am not bothered about short-term volatility but rather focused on long-term income investing in a well managed industrial Reit owning freehold data centres with long Wale and stable DPU above 6.5%.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster

Added Microsoft

 


I added some shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) today as its share price tanked, seizing a macro-driven discount. The dip was primarily fueled by the market's reaction to the Fed's 'hawkish cut,' compounded by investor concerns over the high cost of MSFT's new, massive AI infrastructure spending announced for India and Canada.

I believe Microsoft is a foundational, long-term investment, leveraging its dominant enterprise ecosystem to secure the best-in-class position in the generative AI revolution via Azure and Copilot.



To understand why this was a buying opportunity, we must first understand the temporary factors that caused the panic selling. The decline was triggered by a one-two punch of disappointing news:

  • The Macro Punch: The 'Hawkish Cut': The Federal Reserve confirmed an expected rate cut, but the accompanying future guidance was far less 'dovish' than hoped. The signal for rates remaining 'higher for longer' directly hits the valuation of high-growth tech stocks like MSFT. Their value relies heavily on distant future profits (from Azure and AI), and a higher discount rate makes those future profits worth less today. This created an indiscriminate sell-off.

  • The Micro Jab: AI Cost and Monetization Anxiety: Recent reports highlighted investor concerns over the massive capital expenditure (CapEx) required for new AI infrastructure (including the recent, large investments announced for India and Canada). Furthermore, anxiety persists over the pace of monetizing its core AI features (like Copilot). The market is punishing the stock for spending on the future, despite its necessity."



The short-term noises distract from Microsoft’s powerful intrinsic value. This is not a speculative AI play; this is an investment in a bedrock of the global economy.

The Best-in-Class AI Moat

Microsoft is a foundational, long-term investment, leveraging its dominant enterprise ecosystem to secure the best-in-class position in the generative AI revolution.

  • Azure: Azure is the primary beneficiary of the AI arms race. It is the cloud platform that powers the vast majority of enterprise AI solutions and benefits directly from the immense compute demand from partners like OpenAI.

  • Copilot & Enterprise Integration: MSFT has seamlessly integrated OpenAI's technology into the core products that virtually every major corporation uses: Office 365, Teams, and Dynamics. This integration is the most valuable and defensible moat in the software world—it's not just an optional tool, but a fundamental upgrade to workplace productivity.

Financial Fortress

Despite the massive CapEx, Microsoft operates with a balance sheet that few can match:

  • Massive Free Cash Flow (FCF): MSFT consistently generates tens of billions in FCF, providing the capital required for its strategic investments, acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders.

  • Cloud Leadership: The Intelligent Cloud segment (Azure, Windows Server) remains its most profitable engine, providing reliable, high-margin revenue growth regardless of the economic climate."




Microsoft’s fundamentals remain some of the strongest in the entire S&P 500. Azure’s cloud momentum, its accelerating AI monetization, and its unmatched penetration into enterprise software give it a durable competitive advantage few companies can rival. When a business with near-monopolistic economics and 30%+ long-term EPS growth prospects retraces from the $490s into the low $470s, I see value. Market volatility doesn’t alter intrinsic value — it just changes entry prices. Buying during moments of weakness, not euphoria, has always been a winning strategy in compounding wealth.

I believe this dip created a crucial buying opportunity, allowing me to own a core part of the AI revolution, one of the best compounders in tech with diversification (cloud, enterprise software, AI infrastructure), recurring revenue model, and balance-sheet strength give it a “moat + growth + stability” trifecta.

Over the next 5 years by 2030, I view US $750–900 as a realistic target range for Microsoft.  Surpassing $1,000 is plausible especially if AI/cloud adoption accelerates globally.

Microsoft is not just a long-term investment; it is the cornerstone for capturing the immense value created by the future of enterprise AI.

I now hold a foundational position of 10 Microsoft shares and plan to strategically accumulate more whenever opportune market pullbacks arise. Otherwise, I will maintain discipline through a dollar-cost averaging approach to build the position over time.


Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It's crucial to conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Thanks for reading.

With love and peace, 
Qiongster